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Tropics-1 - L-1 Day

Astra V3.3

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Valid Period

Jun 12, 2022 16:00 - 18:00 UTC (12:00 - 14:00 ET)

Issued

Sat Jun 11, 2022 at 12:00 UTC (08:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

No change in the forecast from yesterday. A mid-level trough is digging into the southeast, pushing a frontal boundary south near the Florida Panhandle and moving the Bermuda high ridge axis south of Florida. This brings enhanced instability and moderate southwest steering flow, bringing scattered to numerous storms to the Spaceport each afternoon through evening today and Sunday. For launch day Sunday, a few storms are expected to start along a weak east coast sea breeze in the beginning of the window, increasing in coverage by the end of the launch window. For backup day Monday, the mid-level trough flattens and high pressure starts to build back in, bringing a lower chance and coverage of storms in the early afternoon during the launch window.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

20%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Lightning Rule
  • Surface Electric Fields Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Solar ActivityN/A

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

50%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Surface Electric Fields Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Solar ActivityN/A