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VCLS DEMO 2 - L-0 Forecast

Astra

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Valid Period

Feb 7, 2022 18:00 - 21:00 UTC (13:00 - 16:00 ET)

Issued

Mon Feb 7, 2022 at 13:00 UTC (08:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

Low ceilings this morning will lift to about 3,000ft by launch window and likely become more broken. There is just a very slight possibility for a Cumulus Cloud embedded in this lower more stable broken deck to violate for the Cumulus Cloud Rule, more towards the end of the window. For backup day Tuesday, another front moves through slowly. This front is expected to bring significant cloud cover through the mid-levels and rain likely, especially towards the end of the window. Winds will also elevate to near 20 kt from the north, making for a cold, wet, and afternoon into evening. Therefore, there is a high POV for the backup day Tuesday with the primary concerns being the Thick Cloud Layer Rule, Cumulus Cloud Rule, and Liftoff winds

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

90%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Solar ActivityN/A

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

20%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Thick Cloud Layer Rule
  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Liftoff Winds

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Solar ActivityN/A