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VCLS Demo 2 - L-1 Day

Astra

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Valid Period

Feb 6, 2022 18:00 - 21:00 UTC (13:00 - 16:00 ET)

Issued

Sat Feb 5, 2022 at 21:00 UTC (16:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

A shallow cold front is stalled just south of the Cape, leaving us with an overcast stratocumulus deck and some spotty light rain. For the backup forecast Sunday, a surface low develops off the coast of the Spaceport along the frontal boundary and exits to the northeast with a trailing front just south of the Cape. Models are now in agreement that the Spaceport will be in a drier slot. Still, more unstable air could cause a few convective showers to pop up within 10nm during the count and launch window. Therefore, the POV is reduced to 40% with the primary concerns being the Cumulus Cloud Rule and Surface Electric Fields Rule.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

60%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Surface Electric Fields Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Solar ActivityN/A