CST-100 OFT-2 - L-1 Day
Atlas V
Valid Period
May 19, 2022 22:45 - 23:05 UTC (18:45 - 19:05 ET)
Issued
Wed May 18, 2022 at 12:30 UTC (08:30 ET)
Forecast Discussion
No significant change to the forecast reasoning. The coverage of afternoon showers and thunderstorms is expected to remain isolated to scattered both today and tomorrow – and predominantly west of Interstate 95 where the sea breezes are more likely to interact. For MLP Roll activities today, mainly dry conditions are forecast along the immediate coast with a small chance, less than 20%, of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening as the Atlantic sea breeze shifts west of the area. Similar conditions are expected tomorrow, with isolated afternoon activity expected to develop near or just west of the launch complex, bringing a chance of a Cumulus Cloud Rule and/or Anvil Cloud Rule violation during the count. Precipitation chances increase substantially on Friday as winds increase out of the south and draw a plume of deeper moisture upward from the Caribbean. As a result, the forecast remains more pessimistic for the backup opportunity with higher probabilities of violations of the Cumulus Cloud Rule, Anvil Cloud Rules, and Flight through Precipitation constraint.
Primary Launch Date
Primary Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Anvil Cloud Rules
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Opportunities
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Anvil Cloud Rules
- Flight Through Precipitation
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Solar Activity | Low |