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GOES-T - L-3 Days

Atlas V

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Valid Period

Mar 1, 2022 21:38 - 23:38 UTC (16:38 - 18:38 ET)

Issued

Sat Feb 26, 2022 at 13:00 UTC (08:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

Dry weather and above average temperatures continue through Sunday as high pressure lingers over central Florida. For Roll Day Monday, a mostly dry cool front moves through in the morning, switching winds from the north. After which, things get more complicated with a mid-level shortwave trough moving across the state as well as a surface trough or closed low developing right off the coast. Both of these will increase rain chances behind the front Monday afternoon through Tuesday, bringing scattered mostly light to moderate rain showers, with breezy winds near 15-20kt from the north. Lightning chances are lower at this time, with most lightning forecast to occur overnight Monday into Tuesday over the warmer Gulfstream waters offshore. For Launch Day through backup day, moisture remains high with the surface trough or low just off the coast, bringing few to scattered showers moving onshore somewhere around central FL Tuesday and isolated to few lingering into Wednesday afternoon.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

60%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Surface Electric Fields Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

70%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Solar ActivityLow