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SES - L-3 Days

Atlas V

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Valid Period

Oct 4, 2022 21:36 - 22:21 UTC (17:36 - 18:21 ET)

Issued

Sat Oct 1, 2022 at 12:00 UTC (08:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

Dry and noticeably cooler air behind Ian brings an end to our summer convective season, with plenty of sunshine and light winds expected Saturday through Monday. For launch day Tue, a low developing off the coast of the mid-Atlantic states will drag a shallow cold front through central Florida. This brings low clouds and a few showers with wind speeds from the north gusting near 22kt. Therefore, the primary concern is the Cumulus Cloud Rule. For backup day Wed, the front looks to push south of us, but continued onshore flow from the northeast will keep low topped shower chances.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

70%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

80%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Solar ActivityLow