USSF-8 - L-1 Day
Atlas V
Valid Period
Jan 20 - Jan 21, 2022
Issued
Thu Jan 20, 2022 at 13:00 UTC (08:00 ET)
Forecast Discussion
High pressure centered to our east will bring southerly winds, warmer temperatures, and dry conditions for today’s Mobile Launch Platform roll operations. A cold front is forecast to approach Friday, though models generally agree that it will remain to the north of the area through the launch window. At this time, the deepest moisture and best convergence along the front is not expected to reach central Florida until late in the afternoon, thus the Probability of Violation for Friday’s launch attempt has been dropped to 30%. Forecast models continue to indicate an area of disturbed weather developing late Friday, resulting in scattered showers and perhaps a thunderstorm overnight. Gusty north winds will develop on the system’s backside and there is increasing concern for a Thick Cloud Layer Rule violation during the backup window as low- to mid-level moisture is expected to linger into Saturday afternoon.
Primary Launch Date
Primary Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Thick Cloud Layer Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Opportunities
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Thick Cloud Layer Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |