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USSF-8 - L-1 Day

Atlas V

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Valid Period

Jan 20 - Jan 21, 2022

Issued

Thu Jan 20, 2022 at 13:00 UTC (08:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

High pressure centered to our east will bring southerly winds, warmer temperatures, and dry conditions for today’s Mobile Launch Platform roll operations. A cold front is forecast to approach Friday, though models generally agree that it will remain to the north of the area through the launch window. At this time, the deepest moisture and best convergence along the front is not expected to reach central Florida until late in the afternoon, thus the Probability of Violation for Friday’s launch attempt has been dropped to 30%. Forecast models continue to indicate an area of disturbed weather developing late Friday, resulting in scattered showers and perhaps a thunderstorm overnight. Gusty north winds will develop on the system’s backside and there is increasing concern for a Thick Cloud Layer Rule violation during the backup window as low- to mid-level moisture is expected to linger into Saturday afternoon.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

70%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Thick Cloud Layer Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

60%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Thick Cloud Layer Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Solar ActivityLow