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Starlink 4-26 - L-3 Days

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Aug 9, 2022 22:49 - 02:49 UTC (18:49 - 22:49 ET)

Issued

Sat Aug 6, 2022 at 12:30 UTC (08:30 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

Through Monday, the western Atlantic ridge will remain to the north of the Spaceport, allowing the sea breeze and its associated showers and storms to push quickly inland by the early afternoons. By late Monday heading into early Tuesday, the ridge axis will drift southward, causing winds at the Spaceport to become from the southeast and reducing available moisture. This will favor early-morning showers along the coast and afternoon storms over the interior, with easterly upper-level flow pushing anvils away from the Spaceport. Thus, primary launch day conditions are favorable for launch, although occasional Atlantic showers cannot be ruled out in this pattern. The primary concern during Tuesday’s launch window is the Cumulus Cloud Rule. Conditions look to remain largely similar for a backup attempt on Wednesday. However, available moisture will continue to decrease and chances for those occasional evening Atlantic showers will drop correspondingly. The primary concern during the backup window remains the Cumulus Cloud Rule.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

70%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

80%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow