CRS-25 - L-0 Forecast
Falcon 9
Valid Period
Jul 14, 2022 00:39 - 00:49 UTC (20:39 - 20:49 ET)
Issued
Thu Jul 14, 2022 at 13:00 UTC (09:00 ET)
Forecast Discussion
No significant changes to today’s forecast. Today, the ridge axis will slowly migrate northward and begin to shift low level winds to a southerly direction. This will allow the east coast seabreeze to migrate further inland by the afternoon and evening hours, triggering the bulk of the diurnal thunderstorms farther to our west. An isolated shower or storm cannot be ruled out from an eastward moving outflow, but most of the activity is still expected to remain inland during the evening hours. With upper level winds coming from the east/northeast, this will also help keep any anvil clouds associated with the storms to the west. Thus, the primary concerns are the Cumulus Cloud Rule and Flight Through Precipitation. For tomorrow and Saturday, the overall setup generally looks similar to Thursday, but moisture and instability will increase by Saturday as an upper level feature moves in from the southeast. The main concerns remain the same as on Thursday, with the addition of the Anvil Cloud Rules on Saturday as upper level winds shift westerly.
Primary Launch Date
Primary Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Flight Through Precipitation
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Opportunities
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Flight Through Precipitation
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Flight Through Precipitation
- Anvil Cloud Rules
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |