CRS-25 - L-2 Days
Falcon 9
Valid Period
Jul 14, 2022 00:39 - 00:49 UTC (20:39 - 20:49 ET)
Issued
Tue Jul 12, 2022 at 12:00 UTC (08:00 ET)
Forecast Discussion
The active pattern with afternoon storms and southwest flow will remain in place for the next few days as the subtropical ridge axis remains to our south. By Thursday, the ridge axis will migrate northward and shifting low level winds south/southeasterly. This will allow the east coast seabreeze to migrate inland by the afternoon and evening hours, triggering the bulk of the diurnal thunderstorms farther to our west. While an isolated shower cannot be ruled out, most of the activity is expected to remain inland during the evening hours. With upper level winds coming from the east/northeast, this will also help keep any anvil clouds associated with the storms to the west. Thus, the primary concerns are the Cumulus Cloud Rule and Flight Through Precipitation. On Friday and Saturday, the overall setup generally looks similar to Thursday, but moisture and instability will increase as an upper level feature moves in from the southeast. The POV is slightly higher and main concerns remain the same as on Thursday.
Primary Launch Date
Primary Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Flight Through Precipitation
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Opportunities
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Flight Through Precipitation
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Flight Through Precipitation
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |