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Eutelsat HOTBIRD-F1 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Oct 14 - Oct 15, 2022

Issued

Thu Oct 13, 2022 at 13:00 UTC (09:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

A low pressure system currently located in northern Canada is dragging a surface front across the Ohio Valley, the latter of which is anticipated to move through the Florida peninsula throughout the day today and extending into tomorrow morning. The quick-moving front is expected to be well south of the Spaceport by tomorrow evening, and high pressure should dominate after frontal passage. Drier, cooler air along with higher winds filtering in from the north in the wake of the front should tamper any significant shower coverage this weekend and result in favorable launch conditions for both the primary and backup launch opportunities. A few discrepancies exist among short- and mid-range models relating to wind direction and moisture content at the Spaceport, giving some uncertainty to shower coverage, but cumulus development should be relatively low-topped and pose little threat for violating launch criteria. The primary rule of concern for both the primary day and backup day remains the Cumulus Cloud Rule.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

90%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

90%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow