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NASA Crew-4 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Apr 27, 2022 07:47 - 07:57 UTC (03:47 - 03:57 ET)

Issued

Tue Apr 26, 2022 at 11:00 UTC (07:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

Persistent high pressure over the Western Atlantic will break down as a frontal system moves through the southeastern US and into North Florida by late day. Ahead of it, there will be enough moisture for at least isolated showers to develop with a late day sea breeze collision across the interior of the state. Flow veering south-southwest will bring some of these back towards the Spaceport late this evening, but they are expected to dissipate by the launch window early Wednesday morning. The main weather concerns will be the Cumulus Cloud Rule and Flight Through Precipitation. The boundary moves through Central Florida on Wednesday, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers through the day. The boundary may be just south of the region by the backup launch window early Thursday morning, but still close enough that the cloud cover and showers will be a concern. The boundary is expected to be south of the area for Friday morning launch attempt, as high pressure builds in bringing drier air.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

90%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Flight Through Precipitation

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Ascent Corridor RecoveryLow-Mod
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

40%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Flight Through Precipitation

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Ascent Corridor RecoveryLow-Mod
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow
48-Hour Delay

Backup Window

90%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Ascent Corridor RecoveryModerate
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow