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Nilesat-301 - L-2 Days

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Jun 8, 2022 21:03 - 23:32 UTC (17:03 - 19:32 ET)

Issued

Mon Jun 6, 2022 at 13:00 UTC (09:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

A light pressure gradient across the state will allow both the Gulf and Atlantic sea breezes to develop and move inland in the early afternoon over the next few days, serving as the primary driver for shower and thunderstorm development. Chances will be highest today as an upper level system passes overhead, with more seasonable widely scattered coverage across the Spaceport into late week. Each day the potential for showers and storms will generally be highest in the early afternoon across the Spaceport, shifting to the interior of the peninsula later in the afternoon. However, there will be a threat for a few storms to drift back towards the coast late evening as steering flow becomes more westerly. The primary concerns for both the primary and secondary launch windows Wednesday and Thursday afternoons will be cumulus clouds from any nearby activity as well as anvil clouds from inland storms.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

70%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Anvil Cloud Rules

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

70%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Anvil Cloud Rules

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow