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Starlink 4-10 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Mar 9, 2022 13:35 - 15:36 UTC (08:35 - 10:36 ET)

Issued

Tue Mar 8, 2022 at 12:15 UTC (07:15 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

The previously-approaching cold front has stalled along the panhandle of Florida, keeping any frontal or post-frontal impacts from reaching the Spaceport. Southerly winds are bringing more moisture into the area, supplying fuel for evening showers and isolated storms during sea breeze boundary interactions. Short range models are mostly in agreement with showers moving out of the area early tomorrow morning prior to the launch window. The primary weather concern for tomorrow’s launch attempt remains the Cumulus Cloud Rule due to the slight chance that showers persist longer than expected, much as they did this morning. In the case of a 24-hour delay, Thursday’s conditions continue to look similar to Wednesday’s. Models have backed off on a sea breeze interaction on Wednesday evening, however instability and moisture are still favorable for isolated storms. Those overnight showers and storms have a similar chance of pushing into the launch window, and low-level winds are expected to intensify. Thursday’s primary weather concerns are the Cumulus Cloud Rule and Liftoff Winds.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

80%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

80%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Liftoff Winds

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow