Starlink 4-12 - L-0 Forecast
Falcon 9
Valid Period
Mar 18 - Mar 19, 2022
Issued
Fri Mar 18, 2022 at 12:30 UTC (08:30 ET)
Forecast Discussion
Strong low pressure will continue to move into the Midwest while a cold front trails south from the low. The front is expected to remain west of the Space Coast area through the launch window. The models continue their trend of developing showers over the central Florida peninsula during the late afternoon and moving them eastward toward the coast. The latest guidance suggests that the showers will diminish as they reach the coast. The primary concern for tonight’s launch attempt is the Cumulus Cloud Rule. In the event of a 24-hour delay, the front moves into and then stalls across northern Florida. The models once again develop showers ahead of the boundary over eastern Florida late tomorrow afternoon. The showers should once again be scattered in nature. The primary concern for the back-up day is the Cumulus Cloud Rule.
Primary Launch Date
Primary Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Opportunities
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Moderate to High |
| Solar Activity | Low |