Starlink 4-12 - L-1 Day
Falcon 9
Valid Period
Mar 18 - Mar 19, 2022
Issued
Thu Mar 17, 2022 at 12:30 UTC (08:30 ET)
Forecast Discussion
An area of low pressure will accelerate northeastward from southern Oklahoma into the northeastern states through the remainder of the week. As this happens, an associated cold front will move across the Gulf Coast states, reaching the western part of the Florida panhandle by the beginning of the launch window. Onshore flow will prevail over the Spaceport, resulting in scattered showers over the ocean with some likely moving inland. Therefore, the primary concern for launch day is the Cumulus Cloud Rule. In the event of a 24-hour delay, the front is expected to make only minimal eastward progression across the Florida peninsula. Low level winds are forecast to switch to a west to southwest direction. While the main front is well north of the area, computer models are indicating a weak convergence boundary will develop near the Space Coast. This boundary may be the focus for additional shower development on Saturday. The primary concern for the back-up day is the Cumulus Cloud Rule.
Primary Launch Date
Primary Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Opportunities
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Moderate to High |
| Solar Activity | Low |