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Starlink 4-19 - L-3 Days

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Jun 17, 2022 14:40 - 16:20 UTC (10:40 - 12:20 ET)

Issued

Tue Jun 14, 2022 at 12:30 UTC (08:30 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

Lower than normal rain chances and near record heat will be the story this week as a strong mid to upper level ridge persists over the southeastern US. At the surface, a weak pressure gradient will bring light winds to start the day, allowing the east coast sea breeze to form and push inland by the afternoon. This will be the general pattern through the week. While a brief shower cannot be ruled out during the window as the east coast sea breeze initially forms and migrates westward, overall launch conditions generally look favorable on Friday. The main concern is the Cumulus Cloud Rule. On Saturday, a weak surface boundary will push into the southeastern US. The boundary itself will not reach Central Florida, but it will shift winds southwesterly and increase moisture in the area. While shower and storm chances will likely be higher in the afternoon Saturday than the rest of the week, most of the activity is not expected to form until after the launch window, which is slightly earlier than Friday. The primary concern remains the Cumulus Cloud Rule.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

80%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

80%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherModerate
Solar ActivityLow