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Starlink 4-34 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Sep 15, 2022 01:17 - 01:37 UTC (21:17 - 21:37 ET)

Issued

Wed Sep 14, 2022 at 01:00 UTC (21:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

The weak frontal boundary lying across Central Florida, upper-level jet, and tropical airmass will continue to drive a very wet and unsettled pattern with periods of rain continuing overnight. These factors will drive an early start to showers and storms on Thursday, though activity will be very slow moving and take a while to shift inland from the coast. While most storms are less likely to push back towards the Spaceport, late day boundary collisions may lead to popup showers and storms back towards the area. In addition, upper-level flow will continue to bring anvils from any inland activity back across the Spaceport through the late evening. The main weather concerns for a Thursday evening launch attempt will be the anvil cloud rules and surface electric field rules. Not too much change in the larger pattern going into Friday with the nearly stationary front continuing to oscillate across Central Florida. The weather for a late evening launch attempt Friday evening looks similar to Thursday, with the primary weather concerns leftover anvil clouds and associated electric fields.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

40%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Anvil Cloud Rules
  • Surface Electric Fields Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

50%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Anvil Cloud Rules
  • Surface Electric Fields Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow