Lucy - L-3 Days

For MLP Roll day Thu, a surface high over the southeast will bring winds from the northeast up to 16kt during the day and a few light rain showers moving onshore. For exposure Fri, high pressure settles into the area bringing pleasant dry weather. For launch day on Sat, the surface high sits right over central FL with the mid-level ridge still over us. This brings continued pleasant weather and light winds with just a few Cumulus Clouds possible. For backup day on Sun, long range models are in agreement on a cool front moving through early Sun morning. With limited mid-level support and instability with this front, the main concerns will be showers and winds nearing liftoff constraints from the north immediately behind the front. Therefore, the primary concerns for the 24-hr backup day are the Cumulus Cloud Rule and Ground Winds. For the 48-hr backup day on Mon, the front stalls over south FL with high pressure building over the Carolina’s bringing a tighter pressure gradient and onshore moving showers. Therefore, the primary concerns for Monday are the Cumulus Cloud Rule and Ground Winds.