Transporter-4 - L-2 Days
Falcon 9
Valid Period
Apr 1, 2022 16:14 - 16:34 UTC (12:14 - 12:34 ET)
Issued
Wed Mar 30, 2022 at 12:45 UTC (08:45 ET)
Forecast Discussion
After a stretch of beautiful weather in East Central Florida, conditions will deteriorate by the end of the week as a strong area of high pressure slides off the Atlantic coast today. This, coupled with a strong low developing over the Midwest, will cause winds to increase and shift to the southeast this afternoon. The low will track to the east tomorrow, dragging a cold front across the Southeastern US. The front will bring generally unsettled weather by Friday, increasing cloud coverage along with shower and lightning chances. Thus, the primary concerns are the Cumulus Cloud Rule, Surface Electric Fields Rule, and the Thick Cloud Layers Rule. For the backup day on Saturday, unsettled weather will remain in place as the front stalls out over Central Florida. Because of this, the POV and primary concerns are the same as on Friday’s attempt. There is still uncertainty regarding the location of the front on Monday. Most of the models do push it farther south, allowing for drier air to move in and favorable launch conditions. However, if it does linger in the area, this would keep the cloud cover and shower/lightning chances. The primary concern is the Cumulus Cloud Rule.
Primary Launch Date
Primary Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Surface Electric Fields Rule
- Thick Cloud Layer Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Opportunities
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Surface Electric Fields Rule
- Thick Cloud Layer Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low-Mod |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |