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USSF-44 - L-3 Days

Falcon Heavy

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Valid Period

Nov 1, 2022 13:40 - 14:11 UTC (09:40 - 10:11 ET)

Issued

Sat Oct 29, 2022 at 13:00 UTC (09:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

The remnants of the boundary that stalled a few days ago over Central Florida will continue to dissipate this weekend, driving a small chance for onshore moving Atlantic showers across the Spaceport. The next storm system will move out of the Deep South into the Ohio River Valley on Monday, but it will be too far north for significant impacts and its weak frontal boundary will move through on Tuesday with little fanfare. Despite the boundary nearby around the time of the primary launch attempt Tuesday morning, the threat for showers will be low. The main concern will be any more robust cumulus clouds that may develop over the local waters and move onshore. Similar conditions are expected for the backup window Wednesday morning, with only a low threat for onshore moving cumulus. Increasing pressure gradient will bump up onshore flow into Thursday, bringing a small increase in cumulus clouds and Atlantic showers for the second backup window Thursday morning.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

90%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

90%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Solar ActivityLow
48-Hour Delay

Backup Window

80%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Solar ActivityLow