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Arabsat BADR-8 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

May 26 - May 27, 2023

Issued

Thu May 25, 2023 at 20:00 UTC (16:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

The complex and active weather pattern will remain in place for the next several days as a broad area of low pressure centered over south Florida, aided by an upper-level trough, continues to develop and slowly push northwards along the Atlantic coast. By tomorrow, the center of low pressure will be just off the coast to the east of the Spaceport. The low’s position will bring breezy northerly winds, along with rounds of coastal showers. As a result, the main concerns will be the Cumulus Cloud Rule and the Surface Electric Fields Rule associated with these showers. The latest model guidance shows us finally breaking out of the wet pattern by Saturday, as the low continues to push northwards, and drier air filters in behind it. Conditions look significantly more favorable, with the only concern being the Cumulus Cloud Rule.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

30%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Surface Electric Fields Rule
  • Liftoff Winds

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

85%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow