NASA CRS-28 - L-1 Day
Falcon 9
Valid Period
Jun 5, 2023 15:42 - 15:53 UTC (11:42 - 11:53 ET)
Issued
Sun Jun 4, 2023 at 15:00 UTC (11:00 ET)
Forecast Discussion
High pressure settling into the southeastern US is pushing a weak boundary into Central Florida late this morning with a weak low along this boundary offshore NE Florida. A few showers and storms are possible into early afternoon before increasing north-northeast flow shifts better chances inland into the late afternoon. The actual front is expected to push through slowly late tonight into Monday morning with another round of morning showers. Some showers may linger into the launch window midday Monday, but the main weather concern will be the brisk northeasterly flow which may pose a liftoff wind concern. High pressure settles over the area by Tuesday, pushing the persistent deep moisture south of the area. A similar pattern will continue into Wednesday. The development of the east coast seabreeze should just be getting started by the backup launch window midday Wednesday, which will likely be a little to early for significant convective development. However, there will be building cumulus that will pose the main launch concern. The ridge axis will be suppressed to the south by Thursday with modest southwesterly flow holding back seabreeze development near the coast. There may be a few showers starting to develop by the midday launch window on Thursday.
Primary Launch Date
Primary Window
Primary Concerns
- Flight Through Precipitation
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Liftoff Winds
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Mod |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Opportunities
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low-Mod |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |