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NASA Crew-6 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Mar 2, 2023 05:29 - 05:39 UTC (00:29 - 00:39 ET)

Issued

Tue Feb 28, 2023 at 17:00 UTC (12:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

A low pressure system is moving through the Great Plains as high pressure builds back into Florida and the ascent corridor. Through the day Wednesday, this low pressure area will move into the Ohio Valley and strengthen as the high pressure ridge slides east of the ascent corridor. By launch time early Thursday morning, the ridge will extend from South Florida to Bermuda, creating moderate winds in the staging area due to the pressure gradient between the ridge and a low-pressure area. Launch weather remains favorable with only a very slight chance of a shower developing over the pad at launch time. Through the day Thursday and Friday, a stronger low pressure area will develop in Texas and move steadily across the U.S., progressively enhancing the winds and cloud cover from Florida through the Mid-Atlantic States. The primary weather concerns for both the 24 and 48 hour delay attempts will be continuously increasing winds in the staging area and to a lesser degree the spaceport.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

85%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Flight Through Precipitation

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow-Mod
Ascent Corridor RecoveryModerate
Booster Recovery WeatherLow-Mod
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

70%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Liftoff Winds
  • Flight Through Precipitation

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Ascent Corridor RecoveryMod-High
Booster Recovery WeatherModerate
Solar ActivityLow
48-Hour Delay

Backup Window

60%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Liftoff Winds
  • Flight Through Precipitation

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Ascent Corridor RecoveryHigh
Booster Recovery WeatherHigh
Solar ActivityLow