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Starlink 6-9 - L-2 Forecast

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Aug 10 - Aug 11, 2023

Issued

Tue Aug 8, 2023 at 12:30 UTC (08:30 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

Hot and humid conditions with daily afternoon and evening thunderstorms continue across Central Florida. The thunderstorms will favor the Atlantic side of Florida as the subtropical ridge axis remains south of the Space Coast. Luckily, the launch window extends past the typical life span of the convection, creating good chances weather will clear by the end of the window. The primary launch weather concerns for Thursday evening are the Anvil and Cumulus Cloud Rules associated with the day’s storms, which will diminish through the window. On Friday, long range models suggest the subtropical ridge axis will begin to shift northward, slightly decreasing the storm coverage near the Spaceport. The primary launch weather concerns remain the Anvil and Cumulus Cloud Rules.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

80%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Anvil Cloud Rules
  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

90%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Anvil Cloud Rules
  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow