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Starlink 5-11 - L-3 Days

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Jun 12, 2023 06:40 - 09:22 UTC (02:40 - 05:22 ET)

Issued

Fri Jun 9, 2023 at 12:45 UTC (08:45 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

Strong to isolated severe storms will again fire up in East Central Florida today due to the deep southwesterly flow, along with sufficient moisture and instability. A weak boundary will slowly drift southward into Central Florida today into tomorrow, but will begin to push back northwards by Sunday. Over the weekend, afternoon shower and storm activity will diminish by the evening hours, then offshore showers will develop over the Gulf Stream overnight due to the offshore flow. The timing of the launch window is favorable in this setup, as most of the activity is expected to stay over the Atlantic waters. The primary concern for the primary launch day is the small risk of a Cumulus Cloud Rule violation. The backup day looks very similar to the primary day, with continued westerly flow keeping most of the shower activity offshore overnight. Thus, both the POV and primary concern are the same as the primary day.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

85%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

85%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow