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Starlink 6-10 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Aug 16 - Aug 17, 2023

Issued

Tue Aug 15, 2023 at 12:30 UTC (08:30 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

No significant changes to today’s update. This week will feature another active weather pattern across the Space Coast, as the Atlantic surface ridge has shifted back southwards. Tomorrow, the mid-level ridge that helped limit the storm coverage last week will continue to break down as a trough digs into the Southeast. This mid-level support, combined with deep moisture and the southwest flow, will bring a high coverage of thunderstorms across East Central Florida on both Wednesday and Thursday afternoons. The storms and associated cloud cover will likely persist into the opening of the window, and slowly dissipate as we approach midnight. For both the primary and backup days, the POV is significantly higher at the start of the window and decrease as the window progresses, with the main concerns being the cloud cover associated with the evening showers and storms.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

65%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Anvil Cloud Rules
  • Surface Electric Fields Rule
  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

65%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Anvil Cloud Rules
  • Surface Electric Fields Rule
  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow