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Starlink 6-14 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Sep 8, 2023 23:32 - 03:31 UTC (19:32 - 23:31 ET)

Issued

Thu Sep 7, 2023 at 15:00 UTC (11:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

High pressure and fair weather lingers over the Space Coast for one last day. By tomorrow, a mid-level shortwave trough will push over the Southeast and provide increased moisture and instability. Thunderstorm development is likely tomorrow afternoon along sea breeze boundaries in Central Florida. This could become a Surface Electric Fields Rule or Lightning Rule concern towards the beginning of the window on Friday. The primary concern will be the Cumulus Cloud Rule and Anvil Rules as westerly upper-level flow may push anvil over the Space Coast from thunderstorm development in Central Florida. By Saturday, the shortwave troughs departure creates less upper-level support and a more typical wet-season thunderstorm potential in the afternoon. Lingering thunderstorm activity over Central Florida may still impact the beginning of the back-up launch window but will likely be less pronounced than Friday.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

85%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Anvil Cloud Rules
  • Surface Electric Fields Rule
  • Lightning Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

90%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Anvil Cloud Rules

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow