Back to Forecasts

Starlink 6-28 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

View PDF

Valid Period

Nov 17 - Nov 18, 2023

Issued

Thu Nov 16, 2023 at 14:00 UTC (09:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

A low that formed overnight near Miami is expected to move northeastward, bringing strong onshore winds and precipitation to the Cape through Friday morning. By Friday night, that low is expected to have moved far enough east for local weather conditions to improve. The primary concern for launch day will be liftoff winds, with a chance of cumulus cloud rule violations as well. By Saturday, the risk of a weather violation should lower as winds weaken and the mid and lower levels of the atmosphere get drier. For both days, seas and weather conditions in the recovery area appear favorable, with slightly better conditions on Saturday.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

60%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Liftoff Winds
  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

90%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow