ViaSat-3.1 - L-0 Forecast

The next upper-level disturbance currently moving across the northern Gulf of Mexico will swing through the state later today. Expect a pattern not to dissimilar to yesterday, with storms kicking off near the Spaceport around midday and lingering through the afternoon. Weak inverted surface trough along the coast induced by the stalled boundary to the north will give an extra boost to the seabreeze, which should help shift most storms inland of the Spaceport by early this evening. With the additional upper-level support, a few showers or storms lingering in the vicinity can’t be ruled out, however the main weather concern will be associated with any anvil clouds streaming back across the Spaceport from ongoing convection to the west. The daytime hours on Thursday still track to be the quietest of the week, though this does not translate to no activity. Instead, the area will be in between upper-level systems with the old front being well north of the Spaceport. Thursday will look closer to a typical summer day with warm and breezy southeasterly flow, and late morning to early afternoon storm development along the sea breeze translating inland. With steering flow veering southerly, storms may not be quite so quick to move west, but most storms are still expected to be inland by the backup launch window Thursday evening. Trailing anvil clouds and lingering storms will remain the main concerns.