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BlueBird-1 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Sep 12, 2024 08:52 - 12:52 UTC (04:52 - 08:52 ET)

Issued

Wed Sep 11, 2024 at 14:00 UTC (10:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

A stalled front stretching across the region and above normal atmospheric moisture will continue elevated chances of showers and thunderstorms across the Spaceport this week. The front may be right overhead for the initial launch window early Thursday morning, and combined with a land breeze, the Probability of Violation will be on the higher end, with the Cumulus Clouds Rule, Thick Cloud Layers Rule and Surface Electric Fields Rule all possible. The front is expected to linger near the region Friday morning, however there is a small chance it could lift further north. The front lifting could limit the amount of convective activity near the Spaceport during the backup window, however confidence on this occurring is low. The PoV Friday morning is slightly lower, with the Cumulus Clouds Rule and Surface Electric Fields Rule a possibility during the period.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

30%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Thick Cloud Layer Rule
  • Surface Electric Fields Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Solar ActivityLow-Mod

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

50%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Surface Electric Fields Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Solar ActivityLow