IXPE - L-2 Forecast
Falcon 9
Valid Period
Dec 9, 2021 06:00 - 07:30 UTC (01:00 - 02:30 ET)
Issued
Mon Dec 6, 2021 at 13:00 UTC (08:00 ET)
Forecast Discussion
A weak boundary will move into Central Florida tomorrow, before high pressure builds back in on Thursday. Models are in much better agreement this system will bring an increase in cloud coverage, but only a slight increase in precipitation chances. The front will also be over the booster recovery area, increasing wind speeds and rain chance in that area. Finally, upper-level winds over the Space Coast will be near 100 knots at 35,000 feet, slightly increasing the risk for wind shear issues. The primary launch weather concerns are cumulus clouds and possible thick cloud layers associated with the weak boundary near the Spaceport. Central Florida weather remains much the same for the back-up opportunity as high pressure, which will remain over the area until the weekend, pushes out the boundary. Upper-level winds will decrease over the launch area and the front will no longer be near the booster recovery area, lessening the impact of those added risk criteria. The launch weather concerns remain a slight chance for cumulus clouds or thick clouds associated with the weak boundary.
Primary Launch Date
Primary Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Thick Cloud Layer Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low-Mod |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low-Mod |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Opportunities
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Thick Cloud Layer Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |