HERA - L-1 Day
Falcon 9
Valid Period
Oct 7, 2024 14:47 - 14:57 UTC (10:47 - 10:57 ET)
Issued
Sun Oct 6, 2024 at 16:30 UTC (12:30 ET)
Forecast Discussion
Tropical Storm Milton currently situated in the Bay of Campeche is likely to become a major hurricane tomorrow according to the National Hurricane Center, with most guidance showing its movement across the Gulf of Mexico and into Florida Wednesday and Wednesday night. Deep moisture has already been siphoned into the state, with resultant extensive cloud cover and showers likely to continue for the primary launch day. Models suggest a subtle push of slightly drier air locally on Tuesday as moisture gets consolidated around the likely hurricane out across the Gulf, otherwise conditions deteriorate markedly Wednesday as this system reaches the state, bringing heavy rainfall and windy conditions. While conditions slowly improve later in the week as the system pushes off into the Atlantic, windy conditions accompanied by intermittent showers will continue into Thursday.
Primary Launch Date
Primary Window
Primary Concerns
- Thick Cloud Layer Rule
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Opportunities
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Thick Cloud Layer Rule
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Thick Cloud Layer Rule
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Disturbed Weather Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Moderate |
| Solar Activity | Low |