SiriusXM 9 - L-1 Day
Falcon 9
Valid Period
Dec 5, 2024 16:10 - 17:40 UTC (11:10 - 12:40 ET)
Issued
Wed Dec 4, 2024 at 17:45 UTC (12:45 ET)
Forecast Discussion
The stretch of benign weather continues as a strong area of high pressure dominates the Southeastern US. Tomorrow, an approaching cold front will push the high further southeastwards, with its ridge axis centered directly over the Florida Peninsula. This will bring very favorable conditions for the primary launch day, with a negligible risk of any weather violations. On Friday, the cold front will advance from north-to-south through East Central Florida during the morning. However, model guidance continues to show a mostly dry frontal passage due to a lack of moisture and instability. Low topped cumulus clouds are still expected along the front, but dry air aloft will limit their vertical development. Additionally, behind the front a scattered mid-level cloud deck and increasing northerly winds are expected, especially later in the window. Thus, the POV is elevated compared to Thursday, with the primary concerns being Liftoff Winds, the Cumulus Cloud Rule, and Thick Cloud Layers Rule.
Primary Launch Date
Primary Window
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Opportunities
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Liftoff Winds
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Thick Cloud Layer Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |