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Starlink 10-1 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Jun 7, 2024 22:58 - 02:58 UTC (18:58 - 22:58 ET)

Issued

Thu Jun 6, 2024 at 16:00 UTC (12:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

A weak cold front is pushing into the panhandle today, increasing moisture and bringing greater instability across the peninsula. Steering level flow and upper-level winds will become more westerly, allowing showers and storms that develop with heating and seabreeze interaction to migrate back toward the coast by the late afternoon hours. The latest forecast models have increased coverage of showers and storms over the central to southern portions of the state for Friday, so showers and storms could linger well into the launch window. On Saturday, the front is expected to wash out as high pressure begins to build back in. This will result in slightly drier conditions, so any afternoon shower activity should diminish quickly after sunset. A stray shower over the coastal areas can’t be ruled out, so the primary concern for the backup day is the Cumulus Cloud Rule.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

60%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Anvil Cloud Rules
  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Surface Electric Fields Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

80%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow