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Starlink 10-2 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Jun 23, 2024 17:03 - 21:03 UTC (13:03 - 17:03 ET)

Issued

Sat Jun 22, 2024 at 14:00 UTC (10:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

Deep tropical moisture will remain entrenched across the Florida peninsula into early next week, and as a result, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected each day, largely favoring the afternoon and evening hours. While atmospheric flow will remain weak enough to allow daily seabreeze development, an incoming trough will likely result in delayed formation and westward progression by Monday and Tuesday, with initial storm development closer to the coast on those days. Once formed, daily storms will move erratically or slowly to the east. Still, given the time of day of the launch windows on both the primary and backup opportunities, the risk of weather violations and the rules involved appear similar.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

50%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Surface Electric Fields Rule
  • Anvil Cloud Rules

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

60%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Surface Electric Fields Rule
  • Anvil Cloud Rules

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow