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Starlink 10-6 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Aug 2, 2024 04:19 - 08:19 UTC (00:19 - 04:19 ET)

Issued

Thu Aug 1, 2024 at 15:00 UTC (11:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

No significant changes from the previously issued forecast. The western Atlantic ridge will continue to weaken ahead of an advancing tropical wave and a relatively drier column of air will allow ample opportunity for near record-high temperatures at the surface. With a weaker pressure gradient in place, winds will become light and variable and give way to localized daily seabreeze thunderstorms during maximum heating. These storms will meander the Space Coast area but will subside in advance of the launch windows each day leaving just lingering dissipating clouds. Additionally, during the launch windows there is a small chance for nocturnal storms to develop over the water near the coastline, especially on Saturday morning. Primary concerns for each day would be the Cumulus Cloud Rule.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

85%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityMod

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

80%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow