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Starlink 12-6 - L-2 Forecast

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Dec 30, 2024 05:00 - 08:28 UTC (00:00 - 03:28 ET)

Issued

Sat Dec 28, 2024 at 15:30 UTC (10:30 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

The main weather feature this weekend is a cold front expected to reach down into the Florida peninsula on Sunday, passing the Spaceport early in the morning on Monday. Ahead of the front, we can expect scattered showers with a chance for some isolated storms. Most model solutions have the showers moving offshore just prior to the opening of the window, and a weak secondary line is expected to make its way through after the close of the window. Thus, for the primary launch attempt, concerns will be for lingering storm and anvil activity, especially near the beginning of the window. For the backup attempt, weather looks relatively benign, with some offshore showers. While unlikely, there is a small possibility that one of these showers could wander over the launch pad, causing a flight-through Cumulus Cloud Rule violation.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

60%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Anvil Cloud Rules

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

90%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow