Back to Forecasts

Starlink 6-41 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

View PDF

Valid Period

Mar 4, 2024 23:54 - 03:54 UTC (18:54 - 22:54 ET)

Issued

Sun Mar 3, 2024 at 21:30 UTC (16:30 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

A weak frontal boundary will remain within the vicinity of Central Florida through Monday, keeping warm temperatures and moist conditions in place. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible generally during daylight hours, with activity waning overnight. During the initial launch window Monday evening, any convective activity remaining is expected to be displaced across the interior and western portions of the peninsula, but a few showers and lingering anvils may persist locally. The main concerns for the primary launch window will be for the Cumulus Cloud Rule and the Anvil Cloud Rules. On Tuesday, moisture will be on the rise as a mid-level trough moves across the Southeast US, possibly forming a surface low along the boundary. Jet dynamics will be a bit more pronounced and shower/storm coverage will be on the increase Tuesday evening. Therefore, a higher POV is indicated for a Tuesday night attempt, with the same weather rule concerns.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

80%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Anvil Cloud Rules

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow-Mod
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

55%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Anvil Cloud Rules

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow-Mod
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow