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Starlink 6-46 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Mar 25, 2024 21:00 - 01:00 UTC (17:00 - 21:00 ET)

Issued

Sun Mar 24, 2024 at 16:15 UTC (12:15 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

The pressure gradient between the departing area of low pressure over the Atlantic and high nosing down the eastern US coast will continue to bring windy northeasterly flow along with light showers at times. The low will meander across the western Atlantic through the first part of the week, keeping the breezy conditions in place. Models show an extensive low-topped stratocumulus deck piling into the Spaceport going into the primary launch window Monday afternoon, but it is expected that these clouds will pose little to no launch weather threat as they remain relatively warm and the very dry air above the surface limits cloud growth. Though the next frontal system will be moving through the Central Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday, it will remain far enough west as to not be a concern for the backup window Tuesday afternoon. Locally, it will be another day of breezy conditions out of the southeast with a continued cumulus/stratocumulus deck moving into the coast from the Atlantic. High clouds will be on the increase ahead of the approaching system; however, these look to remain too cold and too thin to pose a significant concern for most of the launch window. There will be a small increase in the threat for Thick Cloud Layer violations going later into the window as the cloud cover increases.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

>95%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow-Mod
Solar ActivityMod

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

95%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Thick Cloud Layer Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow-Mod
Solar ActivityLow-Mod