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Starlink 8-11 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Sep 5, 2024 12:35 - 16:35 UTC (08:35 - 12:35 ET)

Issued

Wed Sep 4, 2024 at 18:00 UTC (14:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

Deep moisture will continue pooling across the Florida Peninsula south of a stalled longwave trough. A subtle change in the pattern occurs Thursday as the surface boundary becomes more southerly, and a light offshore component develops in the mid-levels of the atmosphere. This will likely cause coastal showers to creep toward the coastline in the early morning, but by late morning, storms will generate locally on land across the Spaceport as the sea breeze boundary develops and is stubborn to move. In addition, training showers and storms over the same areas may occur due to a very slow storm moment. Conditions are best at the beginning and increases towards the end of the primary launch window. On Friday, the influence of the ridge axis weakens locally, causing light offshore flow to develop just off the surface. Deep moisture will continue, but the coastline should remain on the drier side until late morning due to the lack of onshore flow. Thunderstorms are likely to generate along the sea breeze boundary by late morning, so conditions are worse at the end of the backup launch window in similar fashion to the day prior.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

60%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Anvil Rules

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow-Mod
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

60%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Anvil Rules

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow