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TelkomSat-113BT - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Feb 20, 2024 20:11 - 22:11 UTC (15:11 - 17:11 ET)

Issued

Mon Feb 19, 2024 at 14:30 UTC (09:30 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

The overcast, rainy conditions will clear out late Monday morning as the low-pressure system, currently to the east, continues to track eastward. Both Tuesday and Wednesday should see favorable weather conditions over the Cape, as high pressure over the central Gulf of Mexico slowly drifts eastward. For the launch day, weather conditions are expected to be almost ideal with a slight possibility of a stray cumulus or cirrus cloud during the window. As such, the likelihood of a weather constraint violation is very low. For the backup day, weather conditions will be much like Tuesday, with the only notable difference being stronger winds aloft. The recovery area may also see slightly stronger winds and rougher seas on the backup day.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

>95%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

95%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Liftoff Winds

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow-Mod
Booster Recovery WeatherLow-Mod
Solar ActivityLow