mPOWER-D - L-1 Day
Falcon 9
Valid Period
Jul 21, 2025 21:00 - 23:30 UTC (17:00 - 19:30 ET)
Issued
Sun Jul 20, 2025 at 13:15 UTC (09:15 ET)
Forecast Discussion
High pressure aloft, which is helping to reduce precipitation chances this weekend, will move west towards the Gulf by Monday. The exit of the ridge will allow seasonal moisture to return to the area and may help develop afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms near the area during the primary launch window. Some storms may be strong enough to produce wind gusts of 40-50 mph. Additional breakdown of the ridge and an approaching surface front on Tuesday will create above-normal moisture across the area and generate scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms during the back up launch opportunity. The Anvil Cloud Rules, Cumulus Cloud Rule, and Surface Electric Field Rule are the main concerns during the primary launch opportunity, with the Cumulus Cloud Rule, Anvil Cloud Rules, and Lightning Rule the main concerns during the back-up launch opportunity.
Primary Launch Date
Primary Window
Primary Concerns
- Anvil Cloud Rules
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Surface Electric Field Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Opportunities
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Anvil Cloud Rules
- Lightning Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |