NASA Crew-3 - L-0 Forecast
Falcon 9
Valid Period
Nov 10, 2021 01:58 - 02:08 UTC (20:58 - 21:08 ET)
Issued
Wed Nov 10, 2021 at 13:00 UTC (08:00 ET)
Forecast Discussion
A large area of high pressure across the eastern US will continue its slide into the Atlantic, with deepening easterly flow bringing more clouds into the coast. Passing light showers will be possible through the afternoon and into the launch window. The main weather concerns for this evening’s launch will be Cumulus Clouds and Flight Through Precipitation associated with this activity. The next storm system will wind up across the northern tier of the US, bringing another cold front through the eastern third of the US late week. Deeper moisture arrives as flow becomes southerly, along with better chances for showers, and potentially a storm, Thursday afternoon and evening across Central Florida. Some of this activity may push east off the coast near the Spaceport late evening as steering flow becomes southwesterly. Cumulus Clouds, Flight Through Precipitation, and the Surface Electric Field Rule will all be a concern for a Thursday evening launch attempt. Models have trended towards a pre-frontal boundary moving through Friday afternoon, bringing slightly better weather conditions by the Friday evening launch window. Cumulus Clouds and Flight Through Precipitation will be the main launch concerns Friday night.
Primary Launch Date
Primary Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Flight Through Precipitation
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Opportunities
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Flight Through Precipitation
- Surface Electric Fields Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Moderate |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Moderate |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Flight Through Precipitation
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |