NASA Crew-3 - L-2 Days
Falcon 9
Valid Period
Nov 10, 2021 01:58 - 02:08 UTC (20:58 - 21:08 ET)
Issued
Mon Nov 8, 2021 at 13:30 UTC (08:30 ET)
Forecast Discussion
High pressure centered across the Ohio River Valley this morning will slide southeast over the next two days, keeping the Spaceport in dry and cool conditions. Winds veer off the Atlantic into Tuesday as the high moves east, bringing a few more clouds and sprinkles into the coast. This pattern will continue into the primary launch window Wednesday night, and the main launch concern will be onshore moving Cumulus Clouds. By Thursday, deepening southeasterly flow will bring a better chance for Atlantic showers in the vicinity of the Spaceport for the backup window. The main launch concerns for Thursday night will be Cumulus Clouds and Flight Through Precipitation. The next storm system moves across the northern tier of the US late week, bringing another cold front through the eastern third of the US. Models have come into better agreement with the timing of the front as it approaches Florida. Scattered showers are expected Friday afternoon ahead of the front, lingering into Friday evening. Cumulus Clouds and Flight Through Precipitation will be the main launch concerns for the secondary backup window Friday night, but more unstable conditions will also bring the Surface Electric Field Rule into play.
Primary Launch Date
Primary Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Ascent Corridor Recovery | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Opportunities
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Flight Through Precipitation
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Ascent Corridor Recovery | Moderate |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Flight Through Precipitation
- Surface Electric Fields Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Ascent Corridor Recovery | Moderate |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Low |
| Solar Activity | Low |