Back to Forecasts

NASA Crew-12 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

View PDF

Valid Period

Feb 13, 2026 10:06 - 10:26 UTC (05:06 - 05:26 ET)

Issued

Thu Feb 12, 2026 at 12:45 UTC (07:45 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

Forecast Discussion: Favorable weather conditions are expected at the launch site for tomorrow morning’s attempt. Today, a weak cold front will approach East Central Florida from the north, increasing moisture and shower chances in the afternoon. By tonight, the front will dissipate and stall out just south of the Spaceport, leading to isolated showers over the Atlantic waters. Although most of the shower activity will remain offshore, there is a low chance of a Cumulus Cloud Rule and/or Flight Through Precipitation violation if one of these showers makes it to the coast. Beyond the launch site, the main watch item is elevated wind speeds along several areas of the ascent track. Over the weekend, another low will develop over the central US and drag a cold front into the Southeast. On Sunday morning, southeasterly flow ahead of the front will bring isolated coastal showers in addition to a low Thick Cloud threat due to cirrostratus clouds streaming in from the west. While there is still uncertainty in the exact timing, the front is expected to move through the region Sunday night into Monday morning, leading to an elevated risk of multiple weather constraints for the second back-up day. Ascent track conditions will also deteriorate as the low moves into the Atlantic.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

90%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Flight Through Precipitation

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Pad Escape WindsLow
Ascent Corridor WeatherModerate
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

48-Hour Delay

Backup Window

80%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Thick Cloud Layers Rule
  • Flight Through Precipitation

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Pad Escape WindsLow
Ascent Corridor WeatherModerate
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow
72-Hour Delay

Backup Window

45%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Surface Electric Fields
  • Flight Through Precipitation

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Pad Escape WindsLow
Ascent Corridor WeatherHigh
Booster Recovery WeatherLow-Mod
Solar ActivityLow