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Starlink L-17 - L-3 Days

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Jan 30, 2021 12:14 - 12:35 UTC (07:14 - 07:35 ET)

Issued

Wed Jan 27, 2021 at 14:00 UTC (09:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

Above normal temperatures will persist today across the Spaceport due to mid-level ridging and deep southwesterly winds. This will be short lived, however, as a powerful cold front is expected to blast through the Florida Peninsula late tonight. Only isolated to scattered shower activity is expected, but strong winds and stout cold air advection will occur. Sustained winds just off the surface will exceed 30 miles per hour, and temperatures will drop by 15 to 20 degrees on Thursday. High pressure will build across the Southeastern US behind the front Thursday, and will linger through Saturday, creating otherwise pleasant weather. Sustained wind speeds (up to 200 feet) will gradually decrease below 20 mph by Saturday morning, and weather conditions across the Spaceport will be quite favorable for launch. The primary concern, if any, will be the Cumulus Cloud Rule. Conditions change a bit by Sunday morning as high pressure is pushed off the Carolina Coastline ahead of a new incoming cold front. Florida will find itself in the pre-frontal regime during the backup window, with increasing winds out of the south. A few showers of a convective nature may be found outlining the warm waters of the Gulf Stream, but conditions will be dry across the Spaceport for launch. The primary concern during the backup window will be the Cumulus Cloud Rule.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

90%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherModerate
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

80%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherModerate
Solar ActivityLow