Starlink-19 - L-1 Day
Falcon 9
Valid Period
Feb 14, 2021 04:10 - 04:31 UTC (23:10 - 23:31 ET)
Issued
Sat Feb 13, 2021 at 18:00 UTC (13:00 ET)
Forecast Discussion
Continued southerly flow ahead of a frontal system will maintain unseasonably warm and moist conditions across Central Florida. This will allow showers and thunderstorms to develop as the front stalls to the north. On Sunday the front is expected to remain in the area with another round of thunderstorms likely across the Space Coast. The unsettled weather should diminish over the Spaceport by evening, but some convection could linger into the launch window. The primary weather concerns for Sunday are the Cumulus Cloud Rule and Surface Electric Field rule associated with the convection as well as the Thick Cloud Layer Rule associated with the frontal cloudiness. On Monday, a strong low pressure area will organize in the northern Gulf of Mexico. This will pull the boundary further north, lowering the threat of organized convection over the Spaceport. The primary weather concern for a launch attempt Monday evening is the Cumulus Cloud Rule.
Primary Launch Date
Primary Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
- Surface Electric Fields Rule
- Thick Cloud Layer Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Moderate |
| Solar Activity | Low |
Backup Opportunities
Backup Window
Primary Concerns
- Cumulus Cloud Rule
Additional Risk Criteria
| Criteria | Risk Level |
|---|---|
| Upper-Level Wind Shear | Low |
| Booster Recovery Weather | Moderate |
| Solar Activity | Low |