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NASA Crew-1 - L-1 Day

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Nov 15, 2020 00:22 - 00:32 UTC (19:22 - 19:32 ET)

Issued

Sat Nov 14, 2020 at 14:00 UTC (09:00 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

North-northeasterly flow will continue to bring onshore moving showers off and on through much of the day into the evening. By late tonight, a diffuse frontal boundary across South Florida will lift back into Central Florida and the Spaceport. This will bring better rain chances into Sunday as this boundary stalls out across the region ahead of another frontal system moving into the southeastern US. This will bring scattered showers through the day, continuing into the primary launch window Sunday evening. The primary launch weather concerns will be the cumulus clouds and precipitation associated with this activity, along with electric fields from any more robust showers. The system moving over the southeastern US will leave another front stuck across the Florida peninsula to start the upcoming week, with a strong area of high pressure pushing across the eastern third of the country clearing it through Central Florida by Tuesday. This will setup a relatively stable atmosphere that will be in place for the remainder of the week with gusty northeasterly winds. The primary weather concern for the delay launch window mid-week will be the gusty winds and scattered cumulus clouds.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

50%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Flight Through Precipitation
  • Surface Electric Fields Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

72-Hour Delay

Backup Window

80%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Liftoff Winds
  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherModerate
Solar ActivityLow