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Starlink-L21 - L-3 Days

Falcon 9

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Valid Period

Mar 14, 2021 08:44 - 10:45 UTC (04:44 - 06:45 ET)

Issued

Thu Mar 11, 2021 at 13:30 UTC (08:30 ET)

Forecast Discussion

Space Launch Delta 45

Surface high pressure that has been dominant in the Space Coast’s weather the past several days is expected to begin breaking down during the latter half of the weekend as an area of low pressure develops over the Central Plains. The associated cold front will move across the Lower Mississippi Valley and into the southeastern US by Monday. Winds on Sunday morning will be relatively light, and it is possible there will be a few stray showers over the water that move inland and quickly dissipate. The primary concern will be the Cumulus Cloud Rule. In the event of a delay, the surface front will continue to move through the southeastern US, and as this happens, winds here on the Space Coast will veer out of the southeast. An increasing surface pressure gradient will also lead to stronger winds. The persistent onshore winds will lead to increasing low level moisture, bringing more low level clouds, but still not expected to pose a significant problem for launch. The primary concerns for the backup day are the Cumulus Cloud Rule and Liftoff Winds.

Primary Launch Date

Launch Day

Primary Window

90%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow

Backup Opportunities

24-Hour Delay

Backup Window

80%
PGO

Primary Concerns

  • Cumulus Cloud Rule
  • Liftoff Winds

Additional Risk Criteria

CriteriaRisk Level
Upper-Level Wind ShearLow
Booster Recovery WeatherLow
Solar ActivityLow